海南省海洋渔业生态-经济系统脆弱性及其影响因素分析
PDF下载 (127)曹威威,孙才志.海南省海洋渔业生态-经济系统脆弱性及其影响因素分析[J].宁波大学学报(理工版),2024,37(4):48-55.DOI:10.20098/j.cnki.1001-5132.2023.1028
CAO Weiwei,SUN Caizhi.Study on the vulnerability and its impact factors of marine fishery eco-economic system in Hainan Province[J].Journal of Ningbo University(Natural Science & Engineering Edition),2024,37(4):48-55.DOI:10.20098/j.cnki.1001-5132.2023.1028
| Title: | Study on the vulnerability and its impact factors of marine fishery eco-economic system in Hainan Province |
| 作者: | 曹威威, 孙才志 |
| Author(s): | CAO Weiwei, SUN Caizhi |
| 关键词: | 海洋渔业生态-经济系统; 脆弱性; “暴露-敏感-适应”评估模型; 障碍度模型; 海南省 |
| Keywords: | marine fishery eco-economic system; vulnerability; exposure-sensitivity-adaptation evaluation model; obstacle model; Hainan Province |
| 分类号: | F062.2 |
| DOI: | 10.20098/j.cnki.1001-5132.2023.1028 |
| 文献标识码: | A |
| 摘要: | 根据1998—2019年海南省海洋渔业统计数据, 基于暴露性、敏感性、适应性三个维度, 运用熵权法构建海南省海洋渔业生态-经济系统脆弱性评价指标体系, 探讨海南省海洋渔业生态-经济系统脆弱性时间变化趋势及其影响因素. 结果表明: (1)研究期内海南省海洋渔业生态-经济系统脆弱性经历了先升后降的变化历程, 2008年以后系统脆弱性波动下降, 处于中度脆弱阶段, 但2016年以后系统脆弱性有上升趋势; (2)人类渔业活动对海洋渔业生态系统造成的压力持续增加导致研究期内系统暴露性持续上升, 经济社会对海洋渔业依赖性减弱有效改善了系统敏感性, 抗干扰能力和恢复能力的增强使系统适应性持续提升; (3)海洋渔业捕捞和养殖活动、经济和社会对海洋渔业依赖程度与科技支撑能力是影响系统脆弱性的重要指标, 其中, 海洋渔业经济社会依赖程度和科技水平的提升是海南省海洋渔业生态-经济系统脆弱性的关键影响因子. |
| Abstract: | Based on the statistical data of marine fisheries in Hainan Province from 1998 to 2019, the vulnerability assessment index system of marine fishery eco-economic system in Hainan Province was constructed by using entropy weight method based on three dimensions of exposure, sensitivity and adaptability. The time change trend and influencing factors of vulnerability of marine fishery eco-economic system in Hainan Province were discussed. The results show that: (1) During the study period, the vulnerability of marine fishery eco-economic system in Hainan Province experienced a process of first increasing and then decreasing. After 2008, the vulnerability fluctuation of the system decreased, and it was in the moderate vulnerable stage, but the system vulnerability showed an upward trend after 2016. (2) The increasing pressure on the marine fishery ecosystem caused by human fishery activities led to a continuous increase in the exposure of the system during the study period. The weakening of economic and social dependence on marine fishery effectively improved the sensitivity of the system, and the enhancement of anti-interference ability and resilience improved the adaptability of the system. (3) Marine fishing and aquaculture activities, economic and social dependence on marine fisheries, scientific and technological support capacity are essential indicators affecting the vulnerability of the system. Among them, economic and social dependence on marine fisheries and the improvement of scientific and technological level are the key influencing factors of the vulnerability of the marine fishery eco-economic system in Hainan Province. |
| 参考文献 /References: | [1] 张萌萌, 王帅, 傅伯杰, 等. 社会-生态网络方法研究进展[J]. 生态学报, 2021, 41(21):8309-8319. [2] 崔振昂, 侯月明, 赵若思, 等. 海南临高海岸带典型生态环境问题与对策研究[J]. 海洋开发与管理, 2023(7): 70-76. [3] 习近平. 在庆祝海南建省办经济特区30周年大会上的讲话[R/OL]. (2018-04-13)[2023-06-12]. http://cpc.people. com.cn/n1/2018/0414/c64094-29925838.html. [4] 高源, 王钧丹. 环渤海地区海洋渔业生态系统脆弱性的时空演变及影响因素分析[J]. 经济论坛, 2020(4): 95-102. [5] 潘晗, 李博. 中国沿海地区人海关系地域系统脆弱性时空分异与影响因素研究[J]. 资源开发与市场, 2018, 34(12):1662-1668. [6] 陈琦, 胡求光. 中国海洋渔业社会: 生态系统脆弱性评价及影响因素分析[J]. 农业现代化研究, 2018, 39(3): 468-477. [7] ALLISON E H, PERRY A L, BADJECK M C, et al. Vulnerability of national economies to the impacts of climate change on fisheries[J]. Fish and Fisheries, 2009, 10(2):173-196. [8] CINNER J E, MCCLANAHAN T R, GRAHAM N A J, et al. Vulnerability of coastal communities to key impacts of climate change on coral reef fisheries[J]. Global Environmental Change, 2012, 22(1):12-20. [9] THIAULT L, MARSHALL P, GELCICH S, et al. Space and time matter in social-ecological vulnerability assessments[J]. Marine Policy, 2018, 88:213-221. [10] 陈琦, 徐源. 我国海洋渔业社会-生态系统脆弱性影响因素分析: 基于ISM模型[J]. 科技与管理, 2019, 21(1): 21-26, 32. [11] 童磊, 林惠慧, 罗佳琪, 等. 浙江省海洋渔业产业生态系统脆弱性及障碍因素分析[J]. 浙江海洋大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 40(5):430-438. [12] 高学明, 陈丹丹. 海南省渔业经济增长方式实证分析[J]. 当代农机, 2021(1):56-59. [13] 彭飞, 富宁宁, 张琦琦, 等. 海洋地缘环境系统构建及其脆弱性解析[C]//2019年中国地理学会经济地理专业委员会学术年会摘要集, 2019:47. [14] 彭飞, 韩增林, 杨俊, 等. 基于BP神经网络的中国沿海地区海洋经济系统脆弱性时空分异研究[J]. 资源科学, 2015, 37(12):2441-2450. [15] 马慧强, 廉倩文, 论宇超, 等. 基于BP神经网络的旅游经济系统脆弱性省际空间分异[J]. 资源科学, 2019, 41(12):2248-2261. [16] 乔青, 高吉喜, 王维, 等. 生态脆弱性综合评价方法与应用[J]. 环境科学研究, 2008, 21(5):117-123. [17] 张学玲, 余文波, 蔡海生, 等. 区域生态环境脆弱性评价方法研究综述[J]. 生态学报, 2018, 38(16):5970-5981. [18] 魏晓旭, 赵军, 魏伟, 等. 中国县域单元生态脆弱性时空变化研究[J]. 环境科学学报, 2016, 36(2):726-739. [19] 李永化, 范强, 王雪, 等. 基于SRP模型的自然灾害多发区生态脆弱性时空分异研究: 以辽宁省朝阳县为例[J]. 地理科学, 2015, 35(11):1452-1459. [20] FAN Y P, FANG C L. Evolution process and obstacle factors of ecological security in western[J]. Ecological Indicators, 2020, 117:106659. [21] 孙才志, 曹威威, 肖春柳. 长山群岛海洋渔业资源的平均营养级变化特征[J]. 海洋通报, 2019, 38(1):87-95. [22] 李继龙, 曹坤, 丁放, 等. 基于渔获物统计的中国近海鱼类营养级结构变换及其与捕捞作业的关系[J]. 中国水产科学, 2017, 24(1):109-119. |
| 备注/Memo: | 收稿日期: 2023−10−26. 宁波大学学报（理工版）网址: http://journallg.nbu.edu.cn/ 基金项目: 海南省哲学社会科学2020年规划课题成果（HNSK(QN)20-12）. 第一作者: 曹威威, 博士/副教授, 主要研究方向: 区域资源环境. E-mail: cwwjy5032@163.com 宁波大学学报（理工版）网址：http://journallg.nbu.edu.cn/ |
