长三角城市创新产出与城镇化耦合协调的时空分异及影响因素研究
PDF下载 (365)郭方舟 杨丹萍*,刘 毅.长三角城市创新产出与城镇化耦合协调的时空分异及影响因素研究[J].宁波大学学报(理工版),2019,32(3):108-114.DOI:
GUO Fang-zhou,YANG Dan-ping*,LIU Yi.Spatial-temporal differentiation and influencing factors of innovation output and urbanization coupled coordination in Yangtze River Delta[J].Journal of Ningbo University(Natural Science & Engineering Edition),2019,32(3):108-114.DOI:
| Title: | Spatial-temporal differentiation and influencing factors of innovation output and urbanization coupled coordination in Yangtze River Delta |
| 作者: | 郭方舟 杨丹萍*, 刘 毅, LIU Yi |
| Author(s): | GUO Fang-zhou, YANG Dan-ping*, LIU Yi |
| 关键词: | 创新产出 ; 城镇化; 耦合协调度; 时空分异 |
| Keywords: | innovation output; urbanization; coupled coordination; spatial-temporal differentiation |
| 分类号: | F290 |
| 文献标识码: | A |
| 摘要: | 本文运用耦合协调模型、探索性空间分析法、空间面板分析等方法分析了2007~2016年长三角26个核心城市创新产出和城镇化耦合协调度的时空分异及影响因素, 结果显示: 创新产出与城镇化的耦合协调度在研究期内缓慢上升, 协调度的空间分异较为明显, 呈现出“东部高、西部低”的发展趋势; 整体地区的耦合协调度呈现空间集聚的态势, 以Moran指数I来衡量的集聚强度在时间上“V”型发展, 形成了以上海为中心的高高集聚区向南北扩散与西部低低集聚区缓慢缩小的空间态势; 经济发展水平、市场发展水平、对外开放和政府干预程度对于提高城市创新产出和城镇化互动水平具有显著推动作用, 信息化水平的推动不明显, 工业化对于互动的作用仍需探讨. |
| Abstract: | Using the coupled coordination model, ESDA and spatial panel regression model, this paper measures the coupling coordination degree of innovation output and urbanization, and analyzes the evolution of space distribution and its influencing factors. The conclusion can be made that the coordination rises slowly and presents the spatial trend about “east high, west low” and spatial agglomeration continuously. The degree of agglomeration changes with the “V” type based on Moran’s I index. Zone of H-H agglomeration taking Shanghai as the center is spreading and zone of L-L agglomeration is being reduced. Economy, power of market, opening to the outside world and strength of government exhibit the positive impact on coordination, while the impact of informatization has not been noticeable thus far and the effect of industrialization on coordination still needs to be investigated. |
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| 备注/Memo: | 收稿日期: 2018?08?22. 宁波大学学报（理工版）网址: http://journallg.nbu.edu.cn/ 基金项目: 浙江省自然科学基金（LY17G030010）; 宁波市哲社规划项目（JD18QY-3）. 第一作者: 郭方舟（1992－）, 男, 浙江慈溪人, 在读硕士研究生, 主要研究方向: 区域经济. E-mail: 409389113@qq.com http://journallg.nbu.edu.cn/ |
